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COLLEGE BASKETBALL BETTING:
ANALYZING THE COLONIAL ATHLETIC ASSOCIATION

November 2007

Interestingly, it was a team with a losing record, Towson State, which proved kindest to college basketball betting devotees last season. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:

VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH (28-7 SU, 18-13-1 ATS, 22-10 O/U): Three starters return from last season's CAA championship team, including G Eric Maynor (13.9 PPG. 6.4 APG).
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-7-1
Home Underdog: 5-3
Away Favorite: 5-3
Away Underdog: 2-1
Neutral Site: 6-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Rams were 7-3-1 ATS versus non-conference foes last season.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 17-7 when VCU was a favorite during the 2006/07 season.

GEORGE MASON (18-15 SU, 14-15 ATS, 14-14-1 O/U): All five starters are back from the team that made it to the CAA title game last season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-6
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 4-3
Away Underdog: 2-3
Neutral site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The patriots were 7-4 ATS after a SU defeat.
Sports Betting Angle: George Mason was 3-8 ATS on three or more days rest.

HOFSTRA (22-10 SU, 14-15 ATS, 17-12 O/U): Antoine Agudio (20.2 PPG, 43.3% 3-PT, 36 steals) is the CAA's best player and should keep the Pride swelling.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-6
Home Underdog: 2-0
Away Favorite: 2-3
Away Underdog: 4-4
Neutral Site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Pride was 5-10 as a favorite.
Sports Betting Angle: Hofstra was 5-9 ATS on three or more days of inactivity.

DREXEL (23-9 SU, 12-17 ATS, 12-17 O/U): Only two starters are back from the team that led the CAA in defensive FG percentage so the Dragons will have to play even tougher D to prevent a slide.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-9
Home Underdog: 3-5
Away Favorite: 3-5
Away Underdog: 4-2
Neutral Site: 2-1
Sportsbook Buster: Dragons were just 6-14 as favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Drexel was 7-13 ATS in association play.

UNC-WILMINGTON (7-22 SU, 11-17 ATS, 16-12 O/U): T.J. Carter, who led the Seahawks to the 2005/06 CAA championship but missed last year with an injury, returns, keying a rapid turnaround.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-4
Home Underdog: 1-4
Away Favorite: 1-3
Away Underdog: 6-4
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Seahawks were 4-7 as favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: UNC-Wilmington was 0-7 ATS after a SU win.

GEORGIA STATE (11-20 SU, 14-13 ATS, 14-13 O/U): Former Ole Miss boss Rod Barnes will need at least one season to right the ship in Atlanta.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-2
Home Underdog: 5-4
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 6-7
Neutral Site: 2-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Panthers were 8-4 ATS after a SU victory.
Sports Betting Angle: Georgia State was 4-7 ATS after a pointspread loss.

OLD DOMINION (24-9 SU, 16-13-2 ATS, 16-15 O/U): The Monarchs lose their top three scorers from last season's NCAA Tournament team and are expected to regress.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 9-4-1
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 3-2-1
Away Underdog: 3-3
Neutral Site: 1-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Monarchs were 9-4-1 ATS as home favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: ODU was 11-7-2 ATS in association play.

TOWSON STATE (15-17 SU, 18-10-1 ATS, 17-12 O/U): Scoring machine Gary Neal (25.3 PPG) is gone but the Tigers recruited well and again could flirt with .500.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-0
Home Underdog: 1-3
Away Favorite: 2-1
Away Underdog: 6-4-1
Neutral Site: 3-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Tigers were 9-2 as favorites, including 6-0 as home favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Towson was 6-1-1 ATS after a pointspread loss.

WILLIAM & MARY (15-15 SU, 12-12 ATS, 11-13 O/U): Four starters return to the defensive-minded team that won 15 games for just the fifth time in 102 years, last season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-5
Home Underdog: 2-2
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 7-3
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Tribe was 3-7 as a favorite but 9-5 as an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: William & Mary was 4-7 ATS after a pointspread victory.

JAMES MADISON (7-23 SU, 12-14 ATS, 13-12-1 O/U): Juwann James (13.0 PPG) is a good scorer and there's optimism that a couple of transfers will help the Dukes reach double-digit wins this season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-3
Home Underdog: 4-6
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 7-5
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Dukes were 4-9 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: JMU was 3-7 ATS after a pointspread victory.

DELAWARE (5-26 SU, 12-16 ATS, 17-11 O/U): Herb Courtney (18.1 PPG, 8.0 RPG) and three other returning starters should form the nucleus of an improved club.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-4
Home Underdog: 4-5
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 6-5
Neutral Site: 2-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Fightin' Blue Hens 3-9 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: Delaware was 5-8 ATS following a pointspread defeat.

NORTHEASTERN (13-19 SU, 13-15-1 ATS, 18-11 O/U): CAA Rookie of the Year Matt Janning (11.6 PPG) is the cornerstone of a team that figures to struggle.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-1
Home Underdog: 3-1-1
Away Favorite: 2-1
Away Underdog: 3-10
Neutral Site: 1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Huskies were 7-2 as favorites but 6-13-1 as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: Northeastern was 5-11 ATS on the road.

This is the 12th of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the West Coast Conference.

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