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November 2007
The three teams that won 20 or more games, Butler, Wright State and Illinois-Chicago, also had the best pointspread records a year ago, a trend college basketball betting enthusiasts surely will be watching this season. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:
BUTLER (29-7 SU, 21-11 ATS, 17-15 O/U): Led by a returning guard tandem that helped the Bulldogs leads the nation in fewest turnovers, Butler looks to be the class of the league.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-4
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 5-5
Away Underdog: 1-0
Neutral Site: 7-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Bulldogs were 7-0 as underdogs last season.
Sports Betting Angle: Butler was 12-6 ATS in League play during the 2006/07 campaign.
WRIGHT STATE (23-10 SU, 17-10-2 ATS, 13-15-1 O/U): A trio of returning starters and a strong recruiting class should keep the Raiders in the hunt for the Horizon title.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 5-2-1
Home Underdog: 5-0
Away Favorite: 1-1-1
Away Underdog: 4-5
Neutral site: 1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Raiders were 13-4-1 ATS in league play.
Sports Betting Angle: Wright State was 10-2-1 ATS at home.
UW-GREEN BAY (18-15 SU, 15-11 ATS, 13-14 O/U): Mike Schachtner (14.9 PPG) leads an experienced crew that blocks shots, steals the basketball and should be a troublesome bunch.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-5
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 6-4
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Phoenix was 9-2 ATS after a SU loss.
Sports Betting Angle: Wisconsin-Green Bay was 8-4 ATS on three or more days rest.
VALPARAISO (16-15 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U): The Crusaders leave the Mid-Continent Conference for the Horizon with five returning starters and a chance to have an impact right away.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 0-0
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 0-2
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: In limited action, Crusaders were 0-2 as away underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: In limited action, Valparaiso was 1-3 ATS.
UW-MILWAUKEE (9-22 SU, 14-13 ATS, 12-13-2 O/U): Avery Smith (15.5 PPG) is one of 10 of the Panthers' top 11 returning scorers to a team ready to turn things around.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-4
Home Underdog: 2-3
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 9-6
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Panthers were 14-6 ATS on two or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 7-4-1 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee home games.
ILLINOIS-CHICAGO (14-18 SU, 12-17 ATS, 17-12 O/U): The Flames have a hot floor leader in Josh Mayo (12.2 PPG) but lost their best scorer and rebounder, which will hurt their chances.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-6
Home Underdog: 2-0
Away Favorite: 1-2
Away Underdog: 3-8
Neutral Site: 2-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Flames were 4-10 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: Illinois-Chicago was 5-11 ATS after a SU defeat.
LOYOLA ILLINOIS (21-11 SU, 16-13 ATS, 17-12 O/U): Only one starter returns so transfers and bit players will have to step up if the Ramblers are to avoid a big decline.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-4
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 3-2
Away Underdog: 3-4
Neutral Site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Ramblers were 11-7 ATS in league play.
Sports Betting Angle: Loyola Chicago was 8-4 as a home favorite.
CLEVELAND STATE (10-21 SU, 12-14-1 ATS, 12-15 O/U): The Vikings have been in the bottom three of the league for six consecutive years. The streak reaches seven.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-1
Home Underdog: 3-4
Away Favorite: 1-0
Away Underdog: 6-7-1
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Vikings were 5-11-1 ATS in league play.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 11-6 in Cleveland State league games.
DETROIT (11-19 SU, 11-17 ATS, 17-11 O/U): Brandon Cotton (18.1 PPG) can light it up but the Titans don't have much beyond him.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-6
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 7-7
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Titans were 5-12 ATS in league competition.
Sports Betting Angle: Detroit was 3-8 ATS after a SU victory.
YOUNGSTOWN STATE (14-17 SU, 11-16-1 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U): The Penguins don't have a returning player who averaged more than 8.6 points last season.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-3-1
Home Underdog: 2-2
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 3-9
Neutral Site: 1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Penguins were 3-9 as away underdogs
Sports Betting Angle: Youngstown State was 2-7-1 ATS after a pointspread win.
This is the 14th of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the Southern Conference.
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