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October 2007
For all its prowess, the Big East was just 90-86-1 ATS versus non-conference teams last season, hardly the stuff to make basketball betting fans coo. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:
LOUISVILLE (24-10 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 13-17 O/U): The Cardinals return their top six scorers and are a legitimate Final Four contender.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-6-1
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 2-0
Away Underdog: 5-1
Neutral site: 2-4
Sportsbook Buster: The Cardinals were 11-3-1 ATS on three or more days rest last season.
Sports Betting Angle: Louisville was 13-4-1 ATS in conference play in 2006/07.
GEORGETOWN (30-7 SU, 20-11-2 ATS, 13-20 O/U): Four starters return, including 7-2 C Roy Hibbert (12.9 PPG, 6.9 RPG).
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-3-1
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 3-3
Away Underdog: 3-0-1
Neutral Site: 4-5
Sportsbook Buster: The Hoyas were 13-5 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: Georgetown was 14-4-1 ATS in Big East play.
MARQUETTE (24-10 SU, 13-13-1 ATS, 16-11 O/U): All five starters are back from last season's NCAA Tournament team.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-6-2
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 3-4
Neutral Site: 3-2
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 10-2 after an ATS triumph.
Sports Betting Angle: Marquette was 7-4-1 ATS following a pointspread victory.
CONNECTICUT (17-14 SU, 9-16 ATS, 10-15 O/U): With everyone returning, including F Jeff Adrien (13.1 PPG, 9.7 RPG), we like the chances of a quick turnaround.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-6
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 2-1
Away Underdog: 0-7
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Huskies were 0-7 as an away underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: UConn was 2-8 ATS on three or more days rest.
PITTSBURGH (21-8 SU, 17-16 ATS, 17-16 O/U): There's talent but three starters are gone and the Panthers are young.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-6
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 4-4
Away Underdog: 1-2
Neutral Site: 4-4
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 10-4 in non-conference games.
Sports Betting Angle: Pitt was 7-4 ATS on two days rest.
SYRACUSE (24-11 SU, 16-16-1 ATS, 18-15 O/U): Seven of the top players are sophomores or freshmen so the Orange could be a year or two away.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 9-9
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 2-2
Away Underdog: 3-2-1
Neutral Site: 1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 5-0 in regular season tournament games.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 10-5 in non-conference games.
VILLANOVA (22-11 SU, 16-13-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U): Last year's Big East Freshman of the Year, Scottie Reynolds, (14.8 PPG) leads a young team.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-5
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 3-1
Away Underdog: 2-3-1
Neutral Site: 3-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats were 10-4-1 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: Villanova was 13-7 as a favorite.
PROVIDENCE (18-13 SU, 12-14-1 ATS, 15-12 O/U): Good nucleus but defense is suspect.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-6-1
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 1-2
Away Underdog: 4-3
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Friars were 8-3 ATS following an ATS defeat.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 7-3 in road games.
NOTRE DAME (24-8 SU, 14-12-1 ATS, 14-13 O/U): Tough up front but the backcourt is suspect.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-5-1
Home Underdog: 0-0
Away Favorite: 1-3
Away Underdog: 2-2
Neutral Site: 4-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Irish were 5-8 ATS following an ATS victory.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 6-3 in non-conference games.
WEST VIRGINIA (27-9 SU, 20-11-1 ATS, 19-11-1 O/U): NIT champs have enough firepower to court an NCAA berth under new coach Bob Huggins.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-3
Home Underdog: 2-1
Away Favorite: 2-2
Away Underdog: 1-3-1
Neutral Site: 6-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Mountaineers were 10-4-1 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: UWV was 11-2 ATS in non-conference games.
DE PAUL (20-14 SU, 18-14 ATS, 13-18-1 O/U): The team's top two scorers and rebounders are gone, leaving the Blue Demons in peril.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 8-4
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 4-3
Away Underdog: 4-4
Neutral Site: 1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Blue Demons were 11-4 ATS outside the Big East.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was just 5-11-1 in DePaul conference games.
SETON HALL (13-16 SU, 11-13-1 ATS, 19-6 O/U): Pirates still have trouble rebounding and playing defense.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 7-1
Home Underdog: 2-3
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 2-5-1
Neutral Site: 0-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Pirates were 7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Sports Betting Angle: When Seton Hall was favored, the "over" was 10-1.
ST. JOHN'S (16-15 SU, 11-15-1 ATS, 12-15 O/U): The Johnnies will have seven freshmen on their roster. 'Nuf said.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-5-1
Home Underdog: 5-4
Away Favorite: 1-1
Away Underdog: 4-4
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Red Storm was 5-10 ATS on three or more days rest.
Sports Betting Angle: St. John's was 2-7-1 ATS in the game following an ATS victory.
SOUTH FLORIDA (12-18 SU, 9-14-1 ATS, 12-11-1 O/U): Kentrell Gransberry, the only Big East player to average a double-double last year, doesn't have much help.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 4-1
Home Underdog: 2-5
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 2-8-1
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Bulls were 5-13-1 ATS as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: SFU was 4-12 ATS following a SU loss.
CINCINNATI (11-19 SU, 10-16-1 ATS, 13-14 O/U): Still young and inexperienced, the Bearcats will struggle.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-5
Home Underdog: 3-3
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 2-6-1
Neutral Site: 2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Bearcats were 5-10-1 ATS in conference play.
Sports Betting Angle: Cincinnati was 4-8-1 ATS on the road.
RUTGERS (10-19 SU, 11-13 ATS, 11-13 O/U): The Scarlet can't shoot (38.9 % FG) well enough to win.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-1
Home Underdog: 4-4
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 5-6
Neutral Site: 0-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Scarlet Knights were 6-10 ATS after a SU loss.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 1-7 after a Rutgers ATS victory.
This is the second of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the SEC
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