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COLLEGE BASKETBALL BETTING:
ANALYZING THE IVY LEAGUE

November 2007

Students of college basketball betting always have to hit the books when looking for wagering plays within the Ivy League. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2006/07 season are in parentheses:

CORNELL (16-12 SU, 11-6-1 ATS, 9-9 O/U): The league's last two rookies of the year, Adam Gore (12.9 PPG, 41.9 3-pt. pct.) and Ryan Wittman (15.6 PPG, 93 3-pointers) could lead the Big Red to their first Ivy League title since 1988.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-2-1
Home Underdog: 2-1
Away Favorite: 0-1
Away Underdog: 6-2
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Big Red was 8-3 ATS as an underdog last season.
Sports Betting Angle: Cornell was 5-2 ATS after a SU defeat during the 2006/07 season.

YALE (14-13 SU, 11-7 ATS, 12-6 O/U): The Bulldogs return four starters, including unanimous all-league pick Eric Flato (15.3 PPG, 50 steals) and should be in the battle for the Ivy League title and subsequent NCAA berth.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-3
Home Underdog: 1-0
Away Favorite: 2-1
Away Underdog: 3-3
Neutral site: 0-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Bulldogs were 9-5 ATS in Ivy League play.
Sports Betting Angle: Yale was 8-4 ATS after a SU victory.

PENNSYLVANIA (22-9 SU, 12-16 ATS, 16-11-1 O/U): The three-time defending champs lost two-time Player of the Year Ibrahim Jaaber and league scoring champion Mark Zoller, putting their streak in jeopardy. But Penn still has some quality and won't give up it crown easily.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 6-5
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 5-4
Away Underdog: 0-3
Neutral Site: 1-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Quakers were 3-11 ATS versus non-conference foes.
Sports Betting Angle: Penn was 0-5 as an underdog.

COLUMBIA (16-12 SU, 8-9-1 ATS, 10-7-1 O/U): John Baumann (13.3 PPG, 6.5 RPG) heads five returning starters from a team that gunned better than 40 percent from beyond the arc. The Lions have a shot to take it all.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-2
Home Underdog: 1-1
Away Favorite: 2-0
Away Underdog: 2-5-1
Neutral Site: 1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Lions were 3-6-1 as underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: Columbia was 3-7-1 ATS on two or more days rest.

BROWN (11-18 SU, 11-9 ATS, 11-9 O/U): Four starters return, arguing that the Bears will be improved over last season but probably not good enough to threaten the top four.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 2-3
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 8-3
Neutral Site: 0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Bears were 8-3 as away underdogs.
Sports Betting Angle: Brown was 3-6 ATS following a pointspread win.

PRINCETON (11-17 SU, 8-18 ATS, 11-15 O/U): Sydney Johnson, a former Ivy League Player of the Year, takes over a team that will run and gun from beyond the arc under the new first-year head coach. Give him time to mold a winner.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 3-5
Home Underdog: 0-1
Away Favorite: 1-4
Away Underdog: 2-3
Neutral Site: 2-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Tigers were 5-10 as favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Princeton was 4-13 ATS after a pointspread loss.

DARTMOUTH (9-18 SU, 9-10 ATS, 12-7 O/U): The Big Green has some quality beef in the paint but a lack of quality outside shooting likely will dome Dartmouth.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-0
Home Underdog: 2-3
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 5-6
Neutral Site: 0-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Big Green was 1-4 ATS versus non-Ivy League squads.
Sports Betting Angle: Dartmouth was 7-4 ATS on three or more days rest.

HARVARD (12-16 SU, 8-9 ATS, 10-6-1 O/U): The graduation of Jim Goffredo (15.4 PPG) and Brian Cusworth (17.4 PPG, 9.1 RPG) will force former Michigan Head Coach Tommy Amaker to rebuild slowly.
College Basketball Betting By the Numbers (2006/07 Season)
Home Favorite: 1-1
Home Underdog: 2-3
Away Favorite: 0-0
Away Underdog: 5-5
Neutral Site: 0-0
Sportsbook Buster: The "over" was 9-4-1 in Crimson Ivy League games.
Sports Betting Angle: Harvard was 3-7 ATS on two or more days rest.

This is the 20th of 22 NCAA college basketball betting previews.
Next: Handicapping the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.

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